I made a series of predictions this time last year about how the world would play out. This article reviews what I got right and what I got wrong.
Of course, I’ll be following up this piece with predictions for 2022, that I’ll be putting out right on New Year’s day.
You can read my 2021 predictions here.
Anything I put in quotes and italics here, is quoting myself from that article. Let’s dive in…
“COVID will peak in threat towards the end of this winter.” This was in reference to the 2020-21 winter season. That was accurate.
“[T]hings will get better come springtime. Summer will almost be normal in many places.” Remember when we were allowed to remove our masks? We were finally getting back to normal, but of course, if you’re following what is going on, you knew that was temporary.
“Of course, the vaccines will be congratulated for their early successes.” Check!
“So, as they dial down the [PCR test] cycles and/or testing in general, cases will fall.” Remember when the CDC announced that vaccinated people would be counted as “breakthrough infections” (aka vaccine failures) differently? Check.
“COVID will come back with a vengeance next Winter (‘21-’22). It will probably mutate, or so they’ll say.” I didn’t predict it would be named Omicron, but we’re just getting started with this.
I did not see the spike that would happen in late Summer, but otherwise pretty spot on.
“Winter of ‘21-’22 is when the propaganda will crank up super high against the “anti-vaxxers”.” It has been dialing up all year, but I think this will still prove out. This article shows you some of the propaganda and threats being leveled.
“When supply [of vaccines] is greater than demand, they’ll need to amp up demand. Understand what that means. I will not demand it, but lots of people will be demanding that I get it.” Check!
“The good news is you probably won’t be forced. Woohoo! You’ll just be coerced, coaxed and threatened in a thousand different ways. Booooo!” Check! I was right in that they haven’t yet got to the forced injection stage yet, but they’ve thrown everything else at us.
“How many will get vaccinated just so they aren’t inconvenienced? So they can travel? So they can go to a concert? So they can receive Social Security or be able to buy groceries? Why do so many think the latter would just be impossible? How many “impossible” things happened in 2020?” Every single one of these things is happening in some places.
“I expect to be banned from Facebook and Instagram in the coming year!” Didn’t quite get this. I guess I failed to be ballsy enough. I did have some comments I wasn’t allowed to post though.
“The censorship noose will get that much tighter throughout 2021. The mainstream news will become that much more fake in 2021. Cancel culture will grow.” Check, check and check.
(Another way to see this is two of the three Youtube videos I posted on the article last year are no longer available. In fact my blog is just full of missing Youtube videos at this point, which is why I’m using alternative platforms much more now.)
“From the stuff I have seen, this does look like a stolen election…and they’re going to get away with it.” IF you believe in the former, then a big check on the latter.
“My guess is that Kamala Harris assumes control within the first year or two.” There’s still time for this, but it wasn’t this year.
“A Qanon Terrorist Plot… This movement could be infiltrated and helped along by agent provocateurs.” Partial check. To be honest I did expect something bigger than the January 6th protest insurrection. Not much actually happened there but this was touted as worse than 9/11 by some. Some of the protestors involved are still being detained!
The narrative surrounding this is still being pushed hard. (Watch out for one year anniversary news coverage.) It shows the continual rollup of conservative, racist, antivaxxer, conspiracy theorist narratives.
“Some sort of terrorist attack, physical or cyber, is very likely in 2021. Even multiple different events.” There were definitely some hacks, but I’ll overall say my prediction was off on this.
It’s easy to say that this is still coming, and in fact I’m going to do just that, but there’s an investing phrase that “early = wrong”, that I’ll stick to in critiquing myself. Largely missed here.
I unfortunately had some life situations come up so I was unable to finish the part two of my predictions. ‘Twas a shame as I had in my draft for part two “Cryptocurrencies Much higher”. Would have been nice to let you know about that as the bull market was just starting, earlier than I actually started focusing on the subject!
On that note. I’ll also mention a shorter article I did in August. My Crypto Prediction for the Rest of 2021.
August was a time when the market was still going down/sideways after the May crash. (Didn’t see that one coming.) In this article I said “I do agree that these profits will NOT always exist, but they will continue for the foreseeable future…Here’s what I see as the most likely scenario. Crypto is going to go up like crazy one more time. Likely, it’ll make the last rush seem like child’s play.”
This is partially right. We did have another wave up to all-time highs. But I was partially wrong. It wasn’t that much stronger than the previous one. It also hasn’t led to the crash. In other words it’s my prediction that there is more upside ahead.
I’d Like Your Help
Two questions for you…
How do you rate my predictions? Give me an A-F grade as if this was school. I know what I would give myself, but don’t want to sway your decision. So please leave a comment with your grade, and perhaps why.
Secondly, I’m going to do predictions for 2022 as well.
Obviously, I’ll be covering these areas, but is there any other areas or particular things you’d like me to make predictions on?
I’d give you a B+. Sure, you missed some, but they were wrong mostly in how much. I do believe that next year is going to be so crazy that we’ll look back on this year as the good old days. Especially in the financial areas. Our currency for one. Overall, a good job. However, as I’m sure you’re aware, the signs for most of these were pretty clear. Haven’t read your 2022 predictions yet, but I’d be surprised if hyperinflation wasn’t one. Once that baby starts rolling, it’s only going to increase in speed.
Thanks. Yep, next year will likely be crazier. My 2022 predictions should be out by the 31st.
I dig your stuff and your predictions were fairly accurate which is cool to see actually Id say you were a b+ lol
Thanks for the feedback.